The thinking behind it.
Illustrative assumptions. Recalibrate against Aje’s real data.
| Lever | Assumption over three years | Multiplier |
|---|---|---|
| Traffic | +45%: international recruitment, occasion search and brand heat; paid share of traffic held flat | 1.45 |
| Conversion | +20%: landed pricing, fit confidence, discovery and service fixes | 1.20 |
| Average order value | +15%: complete the look, styling and accessories | 1.15 |
| Total | 1.45 × 1.20 × 1.15 | 2.0x |
Retention lifts frequency inside the traffic and conversion assumptions. Recalibrate every assumption once you see Aje's real data; the point is the logic.